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Balanço do ano de 2015 – compacto de artigos no Expresso online

Balanço do ano de 2015 – compacto de artigos no Expresso online
Jorge Nascimento Rodrigues ©,2015

«Portugal needs a National Salvation Pact with a short mandate to restructure the sovereign debt» — David Salanic, Tortus Capital

Portugal needs urgently a PSI and must begin the restructuring operation with the bonds maturing on June and October 2014. The proposal is to exchange old bonds for new bonds with a principal haircut of 40%-50%. The new bonds would pay 2%-3% interest rates and mature in 10-25 years.

A conversation with David Salanic, Chief Executive Officer and Founder of Tortus Capital Management LLC, New York
Interview by Jorge Nascimento Rodrigues, editor of Janelanaweb.com and contributor for EXPRESSO weekly newspaper, Portugal
English Version of an interview for Expresso published 18/01/2014
©JNR, 2014

O segundo erro do FMI — a autocrítica sobre o atraso na reestruturação da dívida grega

FMI autocritica-se por atraso na reestruturação da dívida grega. Uma equipa técnica do Fundo critica adiamentos de reestruturações de dívida soberana em casos de insolvência e avança com opções intermédias de reescalonamento dos prazos da dívida como medida preventiva.

Caso II visto pelo FMI: 4 cenários para Portugal até 2030 (crescimento medíocre e desemprego estrutural elevado)

Uma equipa do Fundo Monetário Internacional divulgou ontem um relatório sobre a economia portuguesa em que considera que “mais crescimento é um assunto de urgência”. Aponta quatro cenários até 2030. O hiato do produto, a produtividade e o desemprego estrutural são problemas críticos. Análise de um relatório de uma equipa do FMI publicado em 18 de janeiro de 2013. (Country Report 13/19)
(c) JNR, 2013

«Too many cooks and no time to waste» (today’s geopolitical environment for the debt crisis) — A conversation with Bill Rhodes, author of Banker to the World

«Too many cooks and no time to waste» (today's geopolitical environment for the debt crisis) -- A conversation with Bill Rhodes, author of Banker to the World

William Reginald Rhodes, 76, is considered one of the more seasoned and reliable “financial diplomats”, with multiple cases of sovereign debt restructuring on his portfolio, between 1979 and 2004 in Latin America, the Middle East and Asia. His name is associated to the resolution of debt crises in the Nicaragua Sandinista, South Korea, Turkey, Argentina, Brazil, Jamaica, Mexico, Peru, and Uruguay.
A conversation about the European debt crisis. Interview by Jorge Nascimento Rodrigues, May 2012.
English Edition by JPO LisWires

“Stronger downgrade may create a big one shock” (Bertrand Candelon)

Janelanaweb interviewed Bertrand Candelon, Professor in International Monetary Economics, Department of Economics of Maastricht University School of Business and Economics.

Portuguese near-default crisis – a rountable in the “black week”

A virtual roundtable with 5 economists and financial analysts
Mark Thoma, professor, University of Oregon, USA
Peter Cohan, CEO Peter Cohan & Associates, Boston, USA
Bill Witherell, Chief Global Economist, Cumberland Advisors, global financial company
David Caploe, Chief Political Economist, EconomyWatch.com, Singapore
Gary A. Dymski, Department of Economics, University of California, Riverside, USA

“Excessive focus on deficits risks making unemployment problem worse” – Kevin O’Rourke

An Interview with Professor Kevin O’Rourke, Irish economist and economic historian: “Excessive focus on deficits risks making unemployment problem worse.”

Daniel Gros: Portugal needs a deep cut in nominal wages

Daniel Gros, director of the Center for European Policy Studies (CEPS), in a short interview about the Portuguese financial situation, one week after a huge speculation in Greek debt and following his article in the Financial Times about the differences inside the Club PIGS.